Date : April 29, 2026

Content:-

US/Israel & Iran War Onset Date: 28.02.2026

The latest analysis of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index and the Nifty 50 highlights a period of significant resilience and a promising outlook for the Indian market.

Nifty 50 has demonstrated a controlled recovery, rebounding by 61.86% as on 27.04.2026 from its post-war trough. This gradual uptrend suggests consistent institutional accumulation rather than volatile spikes, supporting a durable long-term growth view.

While 46.67% of markets have fully recovered, India is currently positioned with high-potential upside, trading just 4.31% below pre-conflict highs. Global emerging markets are showing widespread momentum, with 86.67% of major emerging markets recovering more than 50%. India remains a key player in this stabilizing landscape, maintaining a low-volatility path toward full recovery.

Key Insights: Emerging Markets

• Strong rebound across markets: Over 46.67% of major emerging economies fully recovered after hitting their bottom, highlighting broad-based resilience.

• Widespread recovery momentum: Approximately 86.67% recovered more than 50%, indicating a strong and sustained recovery trend at global level.

• Quick stabilization: On average, emerging markets reached their trough within 23 days (EM average) from the onset of the conflict, reflecting rapid price discovery.

• Swift post-bottom recovery: About 86.67% of markets rebounded by over 50% within 22 days (EM average) of hitting their lows, showcasing accelerated recovery momentum.

India: Key Insights

• Controlled downside, steady recovery: Nifty 50 declined 11.31% to its trough in 30 days and has recovered 61.86% of losses, indicating a low-volatility, measured rebound with catch-up potential.

• Strategic positioning vs peers: India sits between high-beta North Asian markets (which have seen faster, sharper recoveries) and relatively lagging ASEAN markets. Current levels remain -4.31% below pre-conflict highs, indicating potential room for further upside without significant valuation stretch.

• Institutional-led recovery trend: The gradual 61.86% recovery post-trough reflects consistent accumulation rather than sharp spikes, supporting the view of a durable and stable uptrend.

What Investors Should Focus On Right Now

• Long-term asset allocation

• Phased accumulation (SIP/STP approach) to benefit from the ongoing recovery cycle

• Stay invested and add on corrections to capture the full upside of the trend

The Outlook

India's steady performance and measured rebound signal a stable environment for strategic positioning, offering an attractive entry point for the next phase of the market uptrend.

Disclaimer: We have gathered all the data, information, statistics from the sources believed to be highly reliable and true. All necessary precautions have been taken to avoid any error, lapse or insufficiency; however, no representations or warranties are made (express or implied) as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of such information. We cannot be held liable for any loss arising directly or indirectly from action taken on any information appearing herein without consultation with Security Investments Limited on specific investment actions. Please note that Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully and consult with your Security Investments Limited relationship manager before making any investment decisions.